{"id":1257,"date":"2020-03-23T11:53:29","date_gmt":"2020-03-22T22:53:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.waikato.ac.nz\/physicsstop\/?p=1257"},"modified":"2020-03-23T11:53:29","modified_gmt":"2020-03-22T22:53:29","slug":"this-is-exponential-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.waikato.ac.nz\/physicsstop\/2020\/03\/23\/this-is-exponential-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"This is exponential growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Since I last posted on Wednesday, we have seen about zero sign of any flattening in the exponential growth of COVID-19 cases worldwide.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not a epidemiologist, or a health professional, or a infectious disease expert. But I do know what an exponential looks like. With cases doubling about every four days world wide, and quicker than that in NZ (possibly fuelled by a rapid return of people from the US and Europe) this graph shows where we are headed if the exponential continues. Anything the NZ government does today won&#8217;t flow on into the figures for another couple of weeks, as it takes time for symptoms to form, a person to be tested and results to come back. This is scary.<\/p>\n<p>Alert level 2 isn&#8217;t going to cut it. Nor, I fear, is 3. We need to be at 4. Today.<\/p>\n<p>If things look better after two weeks, we can reconsider that level.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since I last posted on Wednesday, we have seen about zero sign of any flattening in the exponential growth of COVID-19 cases worldwide. I&#8217;m not a epidemiologist, or a health professional, or a infectious disease expert. But I do know what an exponential looks like. With cases doubling about every four days world wide, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":1260,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[55,23,1],"tags":[53,19],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>This is exponential growth : Physics Stop<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.waikato.ac.nz\/physicsstop\/2020\/03\/23\/this-is-exponential-growth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"This is exponential growth : Physics Stop\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Since I last posted on Wednesday, we have seen about zero sign of any flattening in the exponential growth of COVID-19 cases worldwide. 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