telling good science from bad (a cautionary tale)

Recently I came across the claim that cystic fibrosis (CF) can be cured by diet. This was news to me, given that the mutation that causes CF is well-documented, as are the necessary treatments, and I wasn’t aware of any evidence that diet alone would correct the faulty membrane pump involved. So I said so. In response I was told to look into “mineral replacement” and view a youtube video. A video made by Dr Joel Wallach, apparently “nominated for a Nobel prize in medicine”, or so my informant told me.

Well, that’s the logical fallacy known as an “appeal to authority” right there. That is, I was told that Dr Wallach’s claims must have something in them, not because of published evidence in support of them, but because of a supposed Nobel nomination.

It’s also a somewhat unlikely claim, given that the Nobel committee keeps nominations secret, so I checked a bit more deeply. It turns out that Dr Wallach (a Doctor of Veterinary Medicine & a Doctor of Naturopathy, not an MD or a PhD) was nominated by a group of naturopaths, and that the nomination was not viewed as legitimate by the committee.

Mind you, he could still be correct in his claim that CF is both preventable & curable by taking selenium supplements. If it were true, it would be a game-changer for those with the disorder. Surely we could expect him to have published his results in a way that would allow other physicians and scientists to test & attempt to replicate them? As far as I could tell, using Google Scholar, this hasn’t happened.

He has co-authored a paper claiming that that patients from Keshan, China, in an area with soils that are selenium-deficient, show the same pancreatic lesions that are seen in some CF patients. However, if the selenium-CF link were real, you’d think that there’d an epidemic of cystic fibrosis in Keshan. But this doesn’t seem to be the case – if it were I’d expect it to have been highlighted in this recent systemic review.

Now, patients with CF apparently can and do suffer from selenium deficiency, but it seems that this is likely a result of the illness (patients have to take a daily cocktail of digestive enzymes as the disease interferes with digestion and absorption of nutrients). There are also cases where parents have attempted to use selenium supplements to treat their children with CF, with sometimes tragic results. And this double-blind trial of selenium supplementation found no impact on CF patients. However, Wallach claims that this and every other disease known unto mankind is due to mineral deficiencies.

He also sells a lot of books & supplements on his webpage. Which is an … interesting … place. I did find it a bit unusual that Dr Wallach (DVSc, ND) states that he carried out 3,000 human autopsies in the period 1962-1987, given that autopsies are usually performed in cases of sudden death, and by a pathologist or medical examiner – although the system in the US varies depending on which state you’re in. (That’s along with 17,500 animal autopsies, which works out as 700 per year, which was presumably done alongside his studies for an ND and other activities).

Why did I spend time looking into Wallach’s claims? Well, first up, it’s always worth examining claims like this, in case there’s something in them (though in this case plausibility, or prior probability, suggests there was not).

But secondly, I was concerned that I was pointed his way – & in an approving manner – by a science teacher. This bothered me. A lot.

Why? Because Wallach’s claims match a lot of the criteria for spotting bad science (see here and here, for example. The fact that there doesn’t appear to be any good published peer-reviewed evidence to support them is an example. That is, he’s pitching directly to the consumer. So is the clear conflict of interest: selling supplements that provide the cure he claims to have discovered. From what I could determine, his ‘study’ had no control group, didn’t use blinding in its testing, and involved a small sample size. None of this inspires confidence, and these are all things that students should surely be finding out about as they learn about the nature of science.

Yes, of course it’s important to be open-minded, but we really should remember those criteria when assessing claims (in the media, on individual’s webpages, or on Youtube) about novel discoveries. Sadly, too many people don’t do this 🙁





14 thoughts on “telling good science from bad (a cautionary tale)”

  • I found it interesting that item 3, “conflicts of interest”, is on your list of markers of bad science.

    I often experienced the fact that bringing up conflicts of interests in criticism of some medical science controversy is systematically conflated with being a crank by medical authorities.

    Have you never witnessed this rhetorical phenomenon?

    • Not in the science-based medicine sites that I follow – they’ll happily call out actual conflict-of-interest when they see it. OTOH, antivaxxers tend to use the phrase in an attempt to cast doubt on the quality of the actual science that’s being discussed.

  • you should dig deeper… dr ioel wallach has tried to publish but the fda has tried to jail and sue him… if fhere was a cure they wouldn’t make momey

    • Nice story, Joe.

      If Dr Wallach (vet & naturopath) had any solid evidence to support his claims, he’d be able to publish it. “They” would still make money because supplements aren’t free. If “the fda has tried to jail & sue him” (citation please), it will probably be because he’s promoting quackery to vulnerable people.

  • Alison, Katalin Kariko has spent 40 years in her quest working with RNA and you consider her to be the expert in this field ,so why is it her method with mRNA and the use of the Cominarty vaccine responsible for killing so many people and creating huge amounts of adverse reaction?Have you looked at ‘Pfizer’s’ clinical trials? Hardly convincing and now we see it’s ‘efficacy ‘ which was never proven in the first place wane in a very short time, with those vaccinated now becoming the most hospitalised in highly ‘vaccinated’ Countries. You can theorise all you wish but data suggests from the huge amount of ‘positives’ natural immunity is greatly beneficial and with the average age of a Covid death over most Countries normal life expectancy it seems Sam Bailey is correct … and you were discrediting her?

  • Thank you. I know a guy who is right into this “Joe(l) Wallach” mineral stuff. It never seemed to cross his mind that someone who endorses their own product may have a conflict of interest. Nobody seems to be talking about this guy! He seems quite influential, yet nobody talks about him! How damaging is the bollocks he’s preaching? I was disgusted by that case of selenium poisoning.

    He’s making claims that if you eat rice and/or squash you won’t contract COVID… the top 10 countries by rice consumption weren’t/aren’t doing so hot in regards to COVID. He also claims people have been magically cured of cancer, CF, osteoporosis, you name it, all through mineral supplements. Sorry, but no. Maybe I’ll be able to part the Red Sea if I take enough calcium supplements! It’s quite ironic that when people name him, they list his abbreviated titles, starting with B.S.

    Thanks for bringing this up, it was a beautiful summation.

    • Please explain a) why you think a link (without any comment from you) is relevant to this post & b) the difference between a peer-reviewed article and a non-reviewed oped.

  • Thank you Alison. For several years I wasted $400 a month on his “90 Essential nutrients” plus “special sauce” for other health issues. As I’ve continued my journey learning about health and diet I’ve come to realize what a fraud that guy is. None of my health related issues, high blood pressure, elevated blood glucose, osteoarthritis improved in the slightest. I sure would like to have that $14,000 back right now! Since discontinuing his protocols, stopping sugar and processed foods and getting on a vigorous exercise program, it has become crystal clear what a fraud he was. My health has improved in many ways. I’m not totally free of my blood pressure meds but my blood pressure and blood glucose have improved tremendously.

    • Thanks, Rob – good to hear that your health has improved with the lifestyle changes you’ve implemented.

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